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Passenger Trains > Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival


Date: 03/17/17 17:58
Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: PRR-GG1

Looking for all prognosticators to give me there chance that #3 departing 03/19 arrive on time or at least before #14 heads north. It's a huge gamble between not loosing 2 hours and will I be disapointed with a missing Palor Car.
​Please weigh in I have plenty of back up plans but above is my dream come true.



Date: 03/17/17 18:02
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: 4489

My money is on 50/50.



Date: 03/17/17 18:18
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: barrydraper

I would say at least 80% chance of making the connection with number 14 (not saying 3 will be "on-time").  Chance of having a Parlor Car is another question, they are sussposed to returnstarting 3-17, but who knows?

Barry Draper



Date: 03/17/17 19:20
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: agentatascadero

      i saw 14 passing through south Salinas on the 15th,  it was moving pretty fast, so didn't get a good look, but what I (think I) saw was unusual : baggage, dorm, 2 sleepers, diner, business class car, Pacific Parlor, 2 coaches, 9 cars total.   Anyone else see this one?
AA
 

Stanford White
Carmel Valley, CA



Date: 03/17/17 19:25
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: dan

the previous performance indicators will tell you the best odds on some websites



Date: 03/17/17 19:38
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: jcaestecker

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

-typical investment disclaimer



Date: 03/17/17 19:42
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: wa4umr

Previous performance is no assurance of what the train will do tomorrow, or any day as far ass that goes, however, a recent trend might give you some idea of what to expect,  Try this link:  https://juckins.net/amtrak_status/archive/html/historychart.php?train_num=3&station=LAX&date_start=1/16/2017&date_end=3/17/2017&sort=d_ar  Fill in the correct dates and you can see what has happened recently.

John



Date: 03/17/17 20:46
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: ProAmtrak

You'll make the connection!



Date: 03/17/17 21:05
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: Lurch_in_ABQ

Past is prologue but prologue is a sucker bet.



Date: 03/18/17 03:34
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: andersonb109

Book an overnight in LA and don't worry about the connection. 



Date: 03/18/17 08:08
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: mp51w

The SW Chief was on time 87% in February!



Date: 03/18/17 15:18
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: dcfbalcoS1

     They're you go, their is a 13% chance you will be late. From all of there information above.      :)



Date: 03/19/17 10:27
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: mundo

26 min late at LAX.

With the schedulle padding between Fullerton and LA and hold policy of train 14, seldom is the connection not made.  But it does happen, freight derailments, weather etc.
They can also make bus  transferconnections between San Bernardino and such cities as Santa Barbara. 



Date: 03/19/17 15:41
Re: Odds of Southwest Chief on time 3/19 arrival
Author: 1976

mundo Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> 26 min late at LAX.

Eye to the future?



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