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First publish date: 2004-04-27

CPR Reports Decline in First Quarter Net Income

Canadian Pacific Railway reported a decline in net income to $24 million in the three-month period ended March 31, 2004, from $102 million in the same period of 2003.

On the same basis, diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.15, compared with $0.64. The railway said the $78-million decrease in net income was due to a net loss of $14 million in foreign exchange on long-term debt in the first quarter of 2004, compared with a net gain of $64 million in the same period a year earlier.

On an ongoing basis, CPR's results improved operationally throughout the first quarter of 2004. Excluding foreign exchange gains and losses on long-term debt, net income of $38 million (non-GAAP) and EPS of $0.24 (non-GAAP) in first-quarter 2004 were slightly ahead of $37 million and $0.23 in first-quarter 2003. This was achieved despite disruptions caused by severe weather and a major avalanche in January.

Rob Ritchie, President and Chief Executive Officer, said: "The worst avalanche in eight years and severe weather early in the quarter hit us hard in our western corridors over a two-week period. With heavy freight volumes fully consuming available capacity, there was no opportunity to recover the lost volumes in the quarter. This took approximately $25 million out of operating income and cost us about $0.10 on EPS. However, we staged a comeback that saw our railway running more efficiently than ever, and exited the quarter with very strong business fundamentals. In March, compared with February, overall business (revenue ton-miles of freight) increased sharply by 17 per cent, and average train weight climbed 5 per cent. This momentum has carried into the second quarter."

CPR's operating income in the first quarter of 2004 was $116 million, compared with $118 million in the same period of 2003. Its operating ratio for the three-month period was 86.9 per cent, compared with 86.6 per cent. The Canadian dollar's 16 per cent year-over-year gain against the U.S. dollar had a substantial negative impact on operating income in the first quarter of 2004, compared with first-quarter 2003.

Fluctuations in the value of the Canadian dollar affect CPR's results because U.S. dollar-denominated revenues and expenses are translated into Canadian dollars. A stronger Canadian dollar reduces U.S. dollar-denominated revenues and expenses. Operating income is also reduced because more revenues than expenses are generated in U.S. dollars. In the first quarter, revenues were reduced by approximately $59 million, operating expenses by approximately $46 million, and operating income by approximately $13 million. After-tax income, excluding foreign exchange on long-term debt, was reduced by $4 million, or $0.02 per fully diluted share.

Total revenues in the first quarter of 2004 were $887 million, compared with $879 million in the same period a year earlier. Revenues in CPR's bulk commodity sector increased $19 million, or 5 per cent over revenues in first-quarter 2003 as a result of strong demand from Pacific Rim countries for raw materials. Intermodal revenue increased $27 million, or 12 per cent, reflecting higher volumes at the ports of Vancouver and Montreal and a
temporary market shift caused by a month-long strike at CN. In the merchandise sector, which includes forest and industrial products and automotive, revenues declined $27 million, or 10 per cent, largely due to the stronger Canadian dollar.

Operating expenses were $771 million in the first quarter of 2004, compared with $761 million in the same period of 2003. Compensation and benefits expense increased 8 per cent over first-quarter 2003. The increase was driven by hiring to handle the 11-per-cent volume growth, higher pension costs and inflation. These higher costs were partially offset by the beneficial impact of foreign exchange and cost containment measures, including job reductions as CPR continued to meet targets announced in June 2003.

Depreciation and amortization expense increased 10 per cent, reflecting CPR's investments in new assets and depreciation rate revisions. Although higher freight volumes and fuel prices drove up fuel expense, the increase was more than offset by improved fuel efficiency and foreign exchange rates. Materials, equipment rents and purchased services declined by 6 per cent.

Excluding foreign exchange gains and losses on long-term debt, CPR's effective income tax rate rose to 34 per cent in first-quarter 2004, compared with 32 per cent in the same period of 2003. The increase was largely due to the government of Ontario's repeal of previously announced future income tax rate reductions.

"There has been a dramatic surge in demand across most of CPR's lines of business and we are working with our customers to assess the sustainability of this new level of demand," Mr. Ritchie said. "Our short-term response is to hire crews for trains, increase the number and productivity of freight cars and bring on 41 high-performance locomotives in the second quarter of 2004 and another 25 in the fourth quarter. We are continuing to drive improved efficiency into our intermodal trains through changes to our integrated operating plan. Despite these measures, we expect capacity in some areas of CPR's network to remain tight in the medium term, particularly for bulk and intermodal traffic on our western corridors. In addition, current market conditions are favourable for CPR to deliver price increases."

Should the currency environment remain unchanged, the year-over-year impact of foreign exchange on quarterly financial results is expected to ease beginning in the second quarter. Given revised 2004 assumptions of an average exchange rate of $1.33 per U.S. dollar (US$0.75) and a grain crop approaching normal production, CPR expects 2004 revenues to grow in the range of 4 per cent to 6 per cent over 2003. Assuming an average West Texas Intermediate oil price of US$33 per barrel and factoring in the impact of the previously reported change in tax rates in the province of Ontario, CPR is now targeting diluted EPS growth in 2004, excluding foreign exchange gains and losses on long-term debt, of 5 per cent to 10 per cent over restated and adjusted EPS of $2.07 in 2003.


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